Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.397232 0.509687 0.631309 0.770940 0.925294 1.089370 1.275698
2025-09-28 0.255602 0.408521 0.590597 0.815234 1.078141 1.370531 1.715242
2025-10-05 0.192741 0.365214 0.585119 0.868953 1.212147 1.603111 2.072786
2025-10-12 0.143355 0.325818 0.574791 0.909418 1.325259 1.808197 2.396878
2025-10-19 0.116126 0.309436 0.588178 0.974297 1.463513 2.039186 2.747743
2025-10-26 0.090610 0.288582 0.590989 1.022297 1.578655 2.241133 3.063540
2025-11-02 0.061933 0.253226 0.567831 1.032187 1.643344 2.380533 3.304103
2025-11-09 0.029703 0.195223 0.502394 0.978802 1.623240 2.413889 3.416166
2025-11-16 0.009211 0.142918 0.435780 0.916705 1.586647 2.423075 3.495973
2025-11-23 0.001883 0.113432 0.401203 0.896370 1.601775 2.493861 3.647893
2025-11-30 0.000107 0.098732 0.390663 0.910059 1.661311 2.619475 3.865841
2025-12-07 NaN 0.080022 0.368205 0.903205 1.691412 2.706860 4.036270
2025-12-14 NaN 0.059008 0.336667 0.881879 1.703686 2.775314 4.189022
2025-12-21 NaN 0.056147 0.346695 0.928379 1.811780 2.968234 4.497565
2025-12-28 NaN 0.056174 0.363624 0.986119 1.935565 3.181228 4.830792
2026-01-04 NaN 0.053145 0.371950 1.029255 2.038624 3.367511 5.131058
2026-01-11 NaN 0.055752 0.395588 1.098447 2.179017 3.602478 5.492218
2026-01-18 NaN 0.054625 0.408626 1.149527 2.293546 3.803913 5.811742
2026-01-25 NaN 0.045939 0.398428 1.160046 2.349487 3.928787 6.035572
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027834 0.351461 1.103239 2.306169 3.922475 6.094146
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013429 0.302260 1.037048 2.245858 3.891504 6.119850
2026-02-15 NaN 0.007299 0.278612 1.015344 2.249645 3.944103 6.249773
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005127 0.274098 1.029956 2.307847 4.069337 6.471899